New Emerson Poll Shows Zohran Surging

The latest Emerson Poll shows Zohran surging in second place, but still with a solid gap behind Andrew Cuomo.

The poll, conducted by Emerson College Polling, was sponsored by PIX11 and The Hill, found a final ballot with Cuomo leading Zohran 54% to 46%.

In the first round, Cuomo gets 35%, Zohran gets 23%, Lander gets 11%, Stringer gets 9%, and A. Adams gets 8%. All other candidates are below 5%.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said: "Cuomo has led in the polls since early 2025, but Mamdani has surged, gaining 23 points and winning second-choice votes nearly 2-to-1, cutting Cuomo’s ranked-choice lead from 12 points to 9 points. With four weeks to go, the question is whether Cuomo can run out the clock, or if he needs to win over second-choice voters to hold off Mamdani’s momentum."

The full results can be found on this spreadsheet.

The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill New York City survey was conducted May 23-26, 2025. The sample of New York registered voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percentage points. The sample of Democratic Primary voters includes n=606, with a credibility interval of +/-3.9%. The final mayoral rank-choice simulation includes n=500 with a margin of error of +/-4.3%. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, and region based on 2025 voter turnout modeling.